Monday's Best Exotic Bets
Worcester 13:15 - Terrafirma Lady & Head On - Tote Exacta - 2 Lines
Recent C&D winner Head On will no doubt prove popular in the betting for this Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase but he's far from certain to confirm superiority over the mare Terrafirma Lady from the race three weeks ago.
The Ian Williams-trained winner came through to score after racing in mid-division for most of the contest and did so despite Tom O'Brien dropping his whip at the second last. They stayed on well after the jumping was completed and justified their prominent position in the market. A 4lb rise in the ratings doesn't look excessive and Head On should be in the firing line again.
Terrafirma Lady finished fifth in that contest under Tom Cannon in what was also her first start over the larger obstacles. She was held up in rear for most of the journey and made up some good ground late in the contest to be beaten just over five lengths in the end.
That followed on from recent improved showings over hurdles at this course and at Uttoxeter. She remains a maiden but the assessor has dropped her 1lb and she is entitled to build on that good run. Mr Jim finished between the pair last time but the veteran might find that Terrafirma Lady and Head On are better placed now. They are taken to fill the first two places.
Brighton 17:30 - King Crimson & Cappananty Con - Tote Swinger - 1 Line
The finale at Brighton on Monday will see Atty's Edge seeking to follow up a recent win at Goodwood. He scored over 5f at the Sussex venue and looked as good as ever in coming with a strong late challenge to earn a slender verdict. He's yet to win from a mark as high as this however and could be vulnerable now.
Sir Rodneyredblood is the other last-time-out winner in this field. He won four weeks ago on the Polytrack at Lingfield for the seventh AW win of his career (7-34, placed 12 times). By contrast, he's unplaced in seven previous attempts on turf, so even allowing for a reduced mark in this sphere, he too is opposed.
Cappananty Con was twice a winner on the all-weather back in January/February over 6f and, despite being 0-4 since returning to the turf after a short break in July, he makes appeal here as he has run well in recent starts. He was behind Atty's Edge at Goodwood last time in fifth. The winner got a fairly seamless passage through in that contest, while William Carson and his mount met trouble in running. Returning to 6f is a plus here and Cappananty Con is surely capable of taking advantage of this mark before too long.
King Crimson is paired with him in the Tote Swinger market with doubts over Atty's Edge and Sir Rodneyredblood. A shock 50/1 scorer at Catterick in early August, he's held his form in two further runs at this venue and back at Catterick, finishing second and third. The cheekpieces are back on now and Grace McEntee is back on board claiming a handy 5lb.